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06.11.2018

CHINESE ENGAGEMENT IN EAST AFRICA UNDERGOING CHANGE

Cooperation and local production the new trend

Cooperation and local production the new trend

Nairobi (GTAI) - China dominates infrastructure projects and the construction industry in East Africa. But now the Kingdom of the Middle is also intensifying its commitment in trade and industry.

The Chinese advance in East Africa is breathtakingly fast, focused, efficient and highly successful. The approach is simple: one makes a business proposal that meets the wishes of the decision-makers, brings everything with you, including financing, and the project will be brought out with Confucian efficiency.

Because the customer is satisfied, follow-up orders are being placed. And the more orders there are, the more Chinese activities are there that no longer have anything to do with the original project: Trade, housing construction and business start-ups. And the more the debt with Chinese financiers rises, the more their interest grows in ensuring that the debt can be serviced.

China is fast - on its terms
In Kenya, the Chinese breakthrough came with the comparatively short road from Nairobi to Thika. The international donor community was willing to finance a road construction project, but only at the usual terms, such as regular feasibility studies and tenders, but at favorable interest rates. During the term of office of the former acting President at the time, all this would not have been completed.

Meanwhile, the Chinese made a different offer: shortest construction time and commercial credit with free hand and political backing. Residence permits were issued in an urgent procedure, and work had already begun before necessary expropriations had been completed. Everything was brought along, even truck drivers and food. Deliveries were made on time for the end of the President's term of office.

If customers are satisfied, there are follow-up orders. For example, a new railway - the favorite project of the current Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta - is also being built, financed and operated by the Chinese. The usual donors, such as the World Bank, had previously declined because the project was unlikely to pay off economically. Thanks to Chinese commitment, the first route from Mombasa to Nairobi was completed in time for the presidential election campaign and could be marketed as a political success. The fact that, in the opinion of critics, that the section was three times as expensive as necessary, was not contested by the voters.

Chinese appearance in the ripening process
Chinese companies had learned a lot from the first road project: They now know what the Kenyan business world and industry can and can't do, what they need, how they tick, how to do business in Kenya and how to deal with bureaucracy and widespread corruption, what cartels and monopolies one has to fear and how to deal with them if necessary.

Thanks to this knowledge and preferential treatment in work permits, Chinese construction and trading companies were able to gain a foothold within a very short space of time. And the more Kenyan government orders go to Chinese companies and the more Chinese traders gain a foothold in Kenya, the more Chinese goods flood the country.

But not only that: Chinese companies have been founded to manufacture locally. In addition, hordes of Kenyan workers are employed or Kenyan goods are being purchased if they are cheaper and/or better, or, logistically speaking, can they be procured more quickly. Kenyan companies and workers have also learned what is important to the Chinese partners - a learning and maturing process on both sides. Some Chinese people have married local and want to stay.

State acquisition perfected
Meanwhile, Chinese companies have virtually "perfected" their government procurement, reports the leading Kenyan daily newspaper "The Nation" with a sarcastic undertone: Chinese acquirers use an English first name that can be remembered and pronounced and, accompanied by a politically well-connected "fixer", visit together a cabinet secretary or the head of a semi-state company and make a proposal for a major infrastructure project combined with the promise to provide the financing.

A "Memorandum of Understanding" is then signed very quickly, followed by a commercial contract with the responsible ministry. Then only the Ministry of Finance has to sign the loan agreement and the deal is perfect. Parliament, budget controllers and the state auditor are excluded. The fact that high commissions and so-called kickbacks (bribes) are being paid in these transactions is in the nature of things.

German companies that participate in Chinese projects may be familiar with this background and are therefore usually very cautious. In other words: German-Chinese business relations in East Africa are reluctantly hanged on the big bell, because the German reputation could suffer. The German-Chinese business relationships that have nevertheless become known are quite different but show a range of possibilities.

Professional cooperation without ideology
On the one hand, there are German companies which are based in China, either independently, as joint ventures or in the form of cooperation. Such companies are considered "Chinese" because they know the rules of the game, the correspondence can be conducted in Chinese and the bank account exists in China. Then there are other German companies with whom one has already worked successfully together in Germany or elsewhere in the world - so why not again? And there are German companies that have a lot of experience in Africa and are well networked, such as consulting firms that can take over construction supervision. It is often the Kenyan client who demands a neutral and professional watchdog.

Many German products are appreciated by the Chinese. If a German company in Kenya is successful with construction chemicals, a Chinese company will also like to come back on them. And if a German construction machine has the desired specifications, it is also being bought by Chinese people in Kenya.

Chinese companies are first and foremost concerned with business and not ideology. German products and services have a good reputation worldwide, even among Chinese people. If China did not used them for its first projects in East Africa, it was because of a lack of knowledge of what is locally available and what is not. In the meantime, this has changed dramatically. And like everywhere in business life, contacts count and they need time to be established.

Chinese are the new Indians
It can already be foreseen that the driving force behind new industrial projects in Kenya will no longer come from entrepreneurs of Indian origin, but from Chinese ones. Once planned Chinese-built industrial parks are completed, there will be a wave of Chinese investment. If these investors first look at Chinese technology, it is only because they are better acquainted with the Chinese market. Anyone who knows and appreciates German products, on the other hand, will know how to weigh up the commercial advantages and disadvantages. For example, one of the first Chinese industrial projects in Kenya, the building materials supplier China Wu Yi Precast, has primarily installed German technology.

Farthest in Ethiopia
What applies to Kenya also applies to Ethiopia, where the Chinese advance is already much further ahead. There, too, the Chinese have built a railway, much more modern and cheaper than in Kenya. And more importantly, they are building industrial parks throughout the country where international companies can find good conditions for low-wage production. The first textile, clothing and leather factories report successes. Food processing and pharmaceutical companies are coming in a second wave. Of course, there are many Chinese companies in it, but not only. And, of course, German companies have good sales opportunities if they make the appropriate marketing efforts.

In Uganda are Chinese traders who have been mixing up the local market. The great Chinese engagement will only come with the start of the oil production and when the Kenyan railway has reached the Ugandan border. In Tanzania, the Chinese currently have less to report because the incumbent president, who is committed to fighting corruption, wants it that way. Instead of Chinese, he gets his railroad built by Turks. Meanwhile, Djibouti has become so heavily indebted to China that its influence can no longer be stopped.

New tones from Beijing
While the Chinese progress all over East Africa - even without Tanzania - can no longer be stopped, it remains exciting to see to what extent new tones from Beijing will affect China's involvement in East Africa. The Chinese leadership has declared its intention to curb corruption in its own government. If it is serious about this, it will also have to introduce stricter rules in its East Africa business.

And then there is the "socialism with Chinese characteristics" propagated by Chinese President Xi Jinping, with which he wants to make the world happy. So far it has been Western Europe and North America that have aggressively propagated their democracy as a form of government and political ideology in Africa. It seems that Xi Jinping now wants to counter this with Chinese principles. Chinese reforms can also be expected in the areas of environmental protection and sustainability, which at some point will also affect Chinese Africa business.

Investment projects in East African countries with Chinese participation
Country Project Investment mio. USD Status Note
Ethiopia Gas production and export 4,300 Talks Start 2020 Poly Group / GCL China
Ethiopia Industrial park 2,000 – 2,500 Different project statuses Developers primarily Chinese companies
Dschibuti Gas pipeline between Ethiopia and Djibouti 4,000 Talks; start of gas production mid-2019 Poly Group/GCL Petroleum Group Holdings Ltd. (both PR China)
Dschibuti 48 sqkm Chinese Free Zone 340 Under construction; largely completed in 2019 Dalian Port Corp., China Merchants Holdings (both PR China), Djibouti Ports and Free Zone Authority
Kenya High Grand Falls Dam (Kibuka) 1,500 Contract awarded; start of construction still pending China State Construction Engineering Corporation
Kenya Standard gauge railway Nairobi-Naivasha 1,500 Under construction; anticipated completion: September 2019 China Road and Bridge Corporation
Tanzania Mchuchuma Coal and Liganga Iron Ore Project 3,000 Planning Sichuan Hongda Group of China
Uganda Development of an oil production infrastructure More than 10,000 Development of a master plan Development of a master plan Joint project between Total, Tullow Oil and China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC)
Uganda Uganda Crude Oil Pipeline through Tanzania to Indian Ocean 3,600 Front End Engineering Design (FEED) completed Joint projects of Total, Tullow Oil and CNOOC
Uganda 800 MW Ayago hydropower plant N.A. Letter of intend Desired partner: China

Source: Research by Germany Trade & Invest

The entire study "China in Africa - Perspectives, Strategies and Cooperation Potentials for German Companies" is available free of charge: Print version under order number 21054 (32 pages) at Germany Trade & Invest, Kundencenter, Postfach 140116, 53056 Bonn, Germany, Telephone: 0228/24993-316, e-mail: vertrieb@gtai.de or as PDF document (german only) after short registration at http://www.gtai.de/china-in-afrika.

Weitere Informationen:
China Africa East Africa Infrastructure
Quelle:

Martin Böll, Germany Trade and Invest www.gtai.de

Foto. Pixabay
28.08.2018

IN JAPAN WIRD KRÄFTIG IN NEUE HOTELS INVESTIERT

  • Hunderte neue Projekte vor allem bis 2020 geplant

Tokyo (GTAI) - Immer mehr Touristen besuchen Japan. Die Nachfrage nach Unterkünften steigt dementsprechend, ebenso wie die Investitionen in Hotelkapazitäten. Davon profitiert eine Reihe von Branchen.
Japan hat sich zum Touristenmagnet entwickelt. Die Ankunftszahlen ausländischer Besucher steigen seit mehreren Jahren. Zudem wird Tokyo als Austragungsort der Olympischen Sommerspiele 2020 viele Neugierige anziehen. Darauf bereitet sich das Land der aufgehenden Sonne vor. Die Investitionen in neue Unterkünfte sind explosionsartig gestiegen und zudem werden bestehende Hotels modernisiert.

  • Hunderte neue Projekte vor allem bis 2020 geplant

Tokyo (GTAI) - Immer mehr Touristen besuchen Japan. Die Nachfrage nach Unterkünften steigt dementsprechend, ebenso wie die Investitionen in Hotelkapazitäten. Davon profitiert eine Reihe von Branchen.
Japan hat sich zum Touristenmagnet entwickelt. Die Ankunftszahlen ausländischer Besucher steigen seit mehreren Jahren. Zudem wird Tokyo als Austragungsort der Olympischen Sommerspiele 2020 viele Neugierige anziehen. Darauf bereitet sich das Land der aufgehenden Sonne vor. Die Investitionen in neue Unterkünfte sind explosionsartig gestiegen und zudem werden bestehende Hotels modernisiert.
Laut Fachmagazin "HOTERES", das regelmäßig über die Entwicklung des Hotel- und Gastronomiegewerbes berichtet, werden nach derzeit bekannten Planungen zwischen 2018 und 2022 bis zu 750 Hotels unterschiedlichster Kategorien neu gebaut. Die Zahl der Zimmer soll dadurch um 109.000 Einheiten zunehmen. Darunter entstehen allein 600 Hotels und mehr als 90.000 Zimmer bis zu den Olympischen Spielen 2020.

Hauptstadt benötigt viele neue Hotelzimmer
Tokyo bildet sicherlich einen Schwerpunkt, aber auch in Osaka und Kyoto wird eine Reihe von Hotels gebaut. Die drei größten Städte des Landes bilden die sogenannte "goldene Route" des Touristenstroms. Zudem sind sie auch wichtige wirtschaftliche Zentren, in denen Geschäftsleute Übernachtungsmöglichkeiten benötigen. Nicht zu vergessen ist auch der Inlandstourismus als eine Einnahmequelle.
Dadurch ergibt sich eine Vielzahl von Geschäftschancen. Abgesehen von der Baubranche suchen die Betreiber der Hotels neue Ausstattungen für Hotelzimmer und Gastronomie sowie für Unterhaltungs- und Aktivitätsbereiche. Etwa drei Viertel der in Japan genutzten Unterkünfte für Reisende sind laut Japan Tourism Agency Hotels im westlichen Stil, gefolgt von etwa 19 Prozent im japanischen Stil.
Laut einem Branchenreport des Immobiliendienstleisters CBRE werden in den acht größten Städten des Landes bis Ende 2020 insgesamt etwa 80.000 Zimmer neu entstehen. Dies sind 30 Prozent mehr als Ende 2016 existierten. Trotz des Neubaubooms wird für Tokyo im Jahr 2020 dennoch weiter mit einem Mangel an Hotelzimmern gerechnet.

Umfangreiche Investitionen zu erwarten
Die Investitionskosten in Hotelbauten haben sich im Jahr 2017 gegenüber 2012 bereits verachtfacht, die neu gebaute Fläche verfünffacht, so die statistischen Angaben des Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT). Die Neubaufläche für Hotels erreichte 2017 rund 3 Millionen Quadratmeter. Dies waren circa 1 Million Quadratmeter mehr als 2016. Mit Investitionskosten von rund 940 Milliarden US-Dollar im Jahr 2017 lagen diese um mehr als 50 Prozent höher als 2016.

Mit den vielen anstehenden Hotelbauprojekten werden die Investitionen weiter steigen. Dabei stehen japanische Hotelgruppen, wie Route Inn Hotels und APA Hotels & Resorts, als Investoren an vorderster Stelle. Zudem diversifizieren japanische Immobilienentwickler in den Hotelbereich, da das Büroimmobilienangebot bereits Zeichen von Überangebot aufweist.
Ein weiterer Immobilienentwickler, Sumitomo Fudosan, plant zwei große Hotelbauprojekte, die beide im Jahr 2020 fertiggestellt sein sollen. Dazu gehört ein Hotel am Flughafen Haneda mit circa 1.700 Zimmern sowie ein Hotel in Tokyos Ariake-Gebiet mit 800 Zimmern. Investitionskosten dafür hat das Unternehmen nicht bekannt gegeben.

Ausgewählte Hotelprojekte im Zeitraum 2018 bis 2021
Hotelgruppe Projektanzahl Homepage
Route Inn Hotels 47 http://www.route-inn.co.jp
APA Hotels & Resorts 35

http://www.apahotel.com/ja_en/

Tokyu Group 28 -
.Tokyu Hotels 5 http://www.tokyuhotelsjapan.com
.Toyoko INN 23

http://www.toyoko-inn.com

Hotel LiVEMAX 24 http://www.hotel-livemax.com
Mitsui Fudosan Group 17 -
.Mitsui Fudosan Hotel Management 9 https://corp.gardenhotels.co.jp
.Mitsui Fudosan 8 http://www.mitsuifudosan.co.jp
Daiwa Group 19 -
.Daiwa Roynet Hotels 14 http://www.daiwaroynet.jp/english/
.Daiwa House 5 http://www.daiwahouse.co.jp
Kyoritsu Hotels & Dormitories 13 http://www.kyoritsugroup.co.jp/en/

Quelle: HOTERES (Stand 1. Juni 2018)

Internationale Ketten wollen sich stärker etablieren
Zudem zeigen sich auch einige internationale Betreiber an Hoteleröffnungen in Japan interessiert. Dazu gehört beispielsweise die Best-Western-Hotelgruppe. Diese plant laut einem Interview in der Nikkei-Wirtschaftszeitung vom 30. April 2018, bis 2020 ihren Bestand in Japan von gegenwärtig 13 Hotels auf etwa 30 Hotels zu erhöhen. Die amerikanische Hotelkette Hyatt will bis 2020 ihr Portfolio auf zehn Standorte in Japan erweitern.

Marriott International ist ebenfalls bereits im Markt und plant, im Jahr 2021 ihr erstes Hotel in Japan unter der W-Marke zu eröffnen. Dieses Luxushotel mit 337 Zimmern soll das japanische Bauunternehmen Sekisui House bauen. Mit einem Luxushotel von 98 Zimmern will Bulgari im Jahr 2022 das Angebot in Tokyo erweitern. Dieses wird in den oberen Stockwerken eines neu entstehenden Mischnutzgebäudes untergebracht, das Mitsui Fudosan im Yaesu-Distrikt plant.

Während die internationalen Hotelbetreiber mehr auf Luxus setzen, sind die japanischen Hotelinvestitionen stärker auf Einrichtungen mit einem eingeschränkten Service, wie Business-Hotels, konzentriert. Mit Blick auf die Besucherströme dürfte sich dies jedoch etwas ändern. Der Erlebniswert und die Aufenthaltsdauer sollen erhöht werden, um die Auslastung und den Ertrag pro Übernachtung zu steigern.

Ausländische Touristen sind wichtige Gäste
Denn die am stärksten wachsend Gästekategorie sind die ausländischen Touristen, weniger die Geschäftsreisenden oder die Inlandstouristen. Die Regierung rechnet im Jahr 2020 mit etwa 40 Millionen ausländischen Touristen landesweit. Darunter dürften allein 25 Millionen Touristen Tokyo besuchen, so die Einschätzung der Gouverneurin der Hauptstadt.

Ende 2017 verzeichnete die Japan National Tourist Organization 28,7 Millionen ausländische Besucher. Jeweils über 7 Millionen Touristen aus China und Südkorea sowie fast 4,6 Millionen Touristen aus Taiwan kamen nach Japan. Mit 13,1 Millionen Auslandsbesuchern bereiste weniger als die Hälfte der internationalen Touristen auch oder ausschließlich Tokyo.

 

Quelle:

Jürgen Maurer, Germany Trade & Invest www.gtai.de